Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbc4351306618518eee562fbf4227bed3190366d62699751e6230ff82db954d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 36c | 1,208$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.58 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 67c | 686.92$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Yes | 30c | 626.27$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.2 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 68c | 557.09$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 11c | 540.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 21c | 536$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.22 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 27c | 491.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.53 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 452.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 41c | 403.9$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.86 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 80c | 359.3$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.19 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 74c | 351.7$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.23 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 336.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.52 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 11c | 326.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 300.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.67 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 291.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 71c | 264.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 25c | 213.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 209.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 56c | 207.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 29c | 205.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.65 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 18c | 204.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.09 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 32c | 155$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 40c | 154$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…5203backed No | 64c | 153.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 78c | 151.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…1503backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 40c | 149.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 149.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 148.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 17c | 146.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 29c | 142.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 31c | 136.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 23c | 131.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 46c | 110.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 105$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 68c | 104.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…4ed5backed No | 75c | 102.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdf…4056backed Yes | 59c | 101.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a9…d0e4backed Yes | 45c | 101.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…938bbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…4af3backed No | 70c | 98.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 29c | 95.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…15b1backed Yes | 22c | 93.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 26c | 93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 20c | 90.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 23c | 86.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f1b1backed No | 59c | 84.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…c83ebacked Yes | 16c | 81.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 20c | 81.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…aeb1backed No | 79c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…79b6backed No | 73c | 73.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe942…2c3ebacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f9…d867backed Yes | 22c | 64.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 60c | 63.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 61c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 32c | 61.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…ca6bbacked No | 65c | 53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…260cbacked Yes | 51c | 52.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…53e0backed No | 22c | 49.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…503abacked Yes | 24c | 48.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 50c | 47.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…f5f0backed Yes | 21c | 47.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 23c | 47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 70c | 46.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…b49ebacked No | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…f02fbacked Yes | 45c | 39.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…2c30backed No | 50c | 38.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…42a2backed Yes | 35c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 36.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…ab2ebacked Yes | 48c | 33.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…2ccdbacked Yes | 68c | 32.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 64c | 31.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 68c | 29.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…043fbacked No | 47c | 28.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 24.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…5cdabacked No | 80c | 22.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8c…7794backed No | 65c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…ba43backed No | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…1225backed No | 70c | 15.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…bc9dbacked No | 72c | 14.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…c42abacked No | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.