Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4abad7069ab3a365326892f1d7f1131a0d5ab7f0fb3e644e2bf4917ef1acf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,429 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 0c | 8,512$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 51c | 560.18$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.49 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 34c | 536$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 65c | 515$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 10c | 414.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 392.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 375.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 65c | 303.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 64c | 270.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 65c | 254.89$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 12c | 238.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 19c | 223.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 67c | 194.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 28c | 174.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 171.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 58c | 168.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 37c | 164.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 66c | 159.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a9…fa1cbacked Yes | 65c | 151.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed No | 44c | 151.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 151.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 54c | 142.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeec…a723backed No | 56c | 137.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 33c | 134.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 42c | 130.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 32c | 129.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 122.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…b5cbbacked Yes | 42c | 120.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…79b6backed No | 54c | 119.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdf…4056backed Yes | 37c | 117.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f1b1backed No | 48c | 114.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 38c | 109.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 34c | 108.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 76c | 106.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 61c | 105.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 41c | 104.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 56c | 101.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 44c | 99.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…c63cbacked Yes | 52c | 94.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 14c | 94.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 41c | 92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…51c5backed Yes | 38c | 91.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 52c | 91.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…023dbacked Yes | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed Yes | 56c | 89.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 43c | 85.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 81.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 37c | 74.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…a54abacked Yes | 33c | 74.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 67c | 73.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 46c | 73.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 54c | 73.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Yes | 69c | 72.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…6c48backed Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 51c | 69.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…8029backed Yes | 63c | 63.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 31c | 62.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 31c | 62.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 27c | 55.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 36c | 55.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…78c9backed No | 63c | 53.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 52c | 51.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…577ebacked Yes | 23c | 51.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 46c | 50.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…071dbacked No | 47c | 50.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…b3b0backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 37c | 47.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked No | 45c | 46.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 45.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 65c | 45.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…2f25backed No | 69c | 44.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…020fbacked Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 42.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 39.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…e3bfbacked Yes | 42c | 39.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 63c | 39.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 37.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 36.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…efd3backed No | 62c | 35.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 47c | 34.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…2c30backed No | 63c | 34.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481f…92f0backed Yes | 35c | 34.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed No | 37c | 33.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…cecebacked Yes | 32c | 33.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 35c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 41c | 30.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…51eebacked Yes | 65c | 30.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.