MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc640b2079361b6a998ebc5e306c85d17360844e8df6b86b58d955060092d648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof KT Wiz, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed KT Wiz | 44c | 2,864$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.59 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…6ffbbacked SSG Landers | 64c | 1,224$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked SSG Landers | 56c | 1,199$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.48 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 36c | 965$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.34 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SSG Landers | 56c | 563.75$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.46 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 59c | 484.41$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 55c | 439$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SSG Landers | 43c | 426.43$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed SSG Landers | 55c | 399.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 31c | 274.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed SSG Landers | 55c | 256.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 45c | 241.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked KT Wiz | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…cb3abacked KT Wiz | 44c | 217.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…0a90backed KT Wiz | 44c | 161.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked KT Wiz | 45c | 160.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked KT Wiz | 19c | 141$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…1b53backed KT Wiz | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SSG Landers | 56c | 120.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked SSG Landers | 55c | 118$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed KT Wiz | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed SSG Landers | 51c | 107.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 46c | 101.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SSG Landers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 78c | 90$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked KT Wiz | 45c | 88.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d171backed KT Wiz | 55c | 72.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KT Wiz | 50c | 71.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked KT Wiz | 42c | 59.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed KT Wiz | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed SSG Landers | 56c | 56.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 54.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…742dbacked KT Wiz | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked KT Wiz | 23c | 48.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SSG Landers | 55c | 46.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked SSG Landers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed SSG Landers | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed SSG Landers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SSG Landers | 49c | 32.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed KT Wiz | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked SSG Landers | 55c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed SSG Landers | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KT Wiz | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked SSG Landers | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…f6cbbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…63a7backed KT Wiz | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…e86dbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…1318backed SSG Landers | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…de7ebacked KT Wiz | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…43c3backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed SSG Landers | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed SSG Landers | 55c | 19.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed SSG Landers | 57c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.