Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe95525daa5669aa7c7ce6737d66a9082be7fedd130a11bffbb8b49fa461a64b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Providence Friarsof Providence Friars, St. John's Red Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3abf…b143backed St. John's Red Storm | 42c | 3,154$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.96 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Providence Friars | 54c | 2,888$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.24 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Providence Friars | 56c | 2,344$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed St. John's Red Storm | 57c | 2,177$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.02 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 2,156$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.01 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Providence Friars | 43c | 2,080$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.08 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed St. John's Red Storm | 2c | 1,600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Providence Friars | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Providence Friars | 15c | 1,542$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. John's Red Storm | 43c | 1,413$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.31 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Providence Friars | 10c | 1,290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed St. John's Red Storm | 71c | 1,045$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.41 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Providence Friars | 12c | 1,000$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.9 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Providence Friars | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Providence Friars | 16c | 944.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.22 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Providence Friars | 10c | 886.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked St. John's Red Storm | 31c | 866.72$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.03 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed St. John's Red Storm | 39c | 745.66$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.78 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Providence Friars | 42c | 722.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.64 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked St. John's Red Storm | 4c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed St. John's Red Storm | 44c | 577.21$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.79 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Providence Friars | 14c | 533.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.22 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed St. John's Red Storm | 32c | 530.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed St. John's Red Storm | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed St. John's Red Storm | 65c | 456.62$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.89 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Providence Friars | 14c | 399.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.91 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Providence Friars | 15c | 273$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.01 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Providence Friars | 7c | 268.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.77 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Providence Friars | 9c | 262.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…da9dbacked Providence Friars | 14c | 247.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 78c | 230.91$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…a397backed Providence Friars | 11c | 218.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed St. John's Red Storm | 65c | 215.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Providence Friars | 34c | 213.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Providence Friars | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…8e33backed Providence Friars | 10c | 174.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…56f6backed Providence Friars | 13c | 160$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed St. John's Red Storm | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Providence Friars | 12c | 100.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked St. John's Red Storm | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Providence Friars | 51c | 77.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed St. John's Red Storm | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Providence Friars | 41c | 69.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed St. John's Red Storm | 80c | 64.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Providence Friars | 70c | 57.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Stormthis page
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 168.5Under won
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 169.5Under won
- Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)Providence Friars won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-11.5)Providence Friars won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-12.5)Providence Friars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.