Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb0a73193443c327e674d2a531730615f539bf1d3591b05e0c9296a402725e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 42c | 7,240$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.86 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 6,060$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.33 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 69c | 1,603$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.22 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,335$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.1 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,085$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under | 48c | 902.43$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.14 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 605.43$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.93 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 440.05$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 35c | 404.51$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 43c | 371.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…70adbacked Under | 36c | 366.69$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 69c | 290.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Over | 71c | 279.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.87 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 57c | 275.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Over | 56c | 262.59$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 236.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 37c | 216.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 55c | 173.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 167.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 53c | 156$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 53c | 156$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 147.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 44c | 139.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 56c | 127.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a4f8backed Over | 57c | 103.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 102.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Over | 54c | 74.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 61c | 72.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 59c | 54.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…a410backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 51.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 49.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 46c | 40.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Under | 29c | 39.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Under | 67c | 38.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Under | 63c | 33.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 73c | 32.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 55c | 28.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 55c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 55c | 24.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 22.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 20.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 57c | 20.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 78c | 16.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Over | 68c | 14.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5this page
- Mexico vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.