MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb1eb427fe03b793e13f43b6212fa26362b9d5130103534ce601646273262fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 6,983$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.71 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 6,068$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.22 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 5,787$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.22 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 47c | 5,320$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.59 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 46c | 1,973$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.49 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 43c | 1,807$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.99 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,714$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 1,638$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 55c | 1,365$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.73 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 1,243$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.82 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 47c | 479$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 414.14$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 46c | 320.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.95 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 303.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 42c | 247$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 208.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Under | 35c | 199$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 11c | 168.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 46c | 161.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 50c | 118.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 114$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 91.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 23c | 73.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 65c | 70.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…87a6backed Over | 46c | 68.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 51c | 56.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 50.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c13…1b72backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 46c | 40.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 38.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 42c | 35.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 32.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 54c | 32.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…f380backed Under | 44c | 27.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed Under | 53c | 25.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…359dbacked Over | 46c | 23.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 54c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 65c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 17.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-5.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-7.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.