Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee105fc2913788ee84ea5ffa81b167205ef33077c20c9ca2818f466b415d82b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,713$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…7a4ebacked No | 71c | 1,685$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 29c | 1,272$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.85 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 29c | 796.9$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 740.36$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Yes | 3c | 542.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 345.36$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 70c | 294$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 259.79$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 71c | 187.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 182.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 178$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 178$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 166$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 15c | 142.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 95.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 70c | 93.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 70c | 93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 71c | 91.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…0296backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 65.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 22c | 45.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 29c | 34.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 69c | 24.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 71c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed No | 70c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.