Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec3db792b4fc2b6e1fd111655677c3bb0d55683d79f57390af90eecd5f87827d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 73c | 7,485$5,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.01 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 27c | 1,370$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.85 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 2c | 1,094$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 27c | 740$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 723.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 27c | 701.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 643.18$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 377$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 27c | 315.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 26c | 309.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 27c | 197.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 137.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 72c | 121.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 114$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 73c | 33.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 73c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.