Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Guiomar Maristany
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf94b5f7e760317ed913e9c3c9c2fb0cf3a4932665acd5564ce7957812f6bdaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guiomar Maristanyof Kaja Juvan, Guiomar Maristany
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kaja Juvan | 34c | 3,730$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.59 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Kaja Juvan | 42c | 3,535$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.36 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Guiomar Maristany | 39c | 3,507$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.2 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Guiomar Maristany | 61c | 2,357$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.96 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guiomar Maristany | 61c | 1,716$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.32 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guiomar Maristany | 51c | 873.48$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a75…4342backed Guiomar Maristany | 71c | 860.92$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Kaja Juvan | 65c | 708.35$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kaja Juvan | 33c | 672.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kaja Juvan | 33c | 658.48$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kaja Juvan | 61c | 655.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guiomar Maristany | 58c | 575.14$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kaja Juvan | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Kaja Juvan | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Kaja Juvan | 64c | 384.62$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Guiomar Maristany | 61c | 333.68$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Guiomar Maristany | 65c | 332.36$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.41 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Guiomar Maristany | 36c | 320.21$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Kaja Juvan | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Kaja Juvan | 60c | 278.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Kaja Juvan | 30c | 270.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Guiomar Maristany | 71c | 199.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kaja Juvan | 38c | 174.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kaja Juvan | 38c | 172.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Guiomar Maristany | 49c | 163.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Kaja Juvan | 27c | 144.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Kaja Juvan | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kaja Juvan | 61c | 124.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kaja Juvan | 29c | 122$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 582 | 48.3%281 W · 301 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kaja Juvan | 49c | 117$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kaja Juvan | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Guiomar Maristany | 51c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kaja Juvan | 41c | 100.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Kaja Juvan | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Guiomar Maristany | 69c | 95.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Guiomar Maristany | 63c | 95.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Guiomar Maristany | 53c | 85.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Kaja Juvan | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guiomar Maristany | 49c | 80.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Kaja Juvan | 63c | 74.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked Guiomar Maristany | 41c | 72.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Guiomar Maristany | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kaja Juvan | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kaja Juvan | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Kaja Juvan | 30c | 54.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Kaja Juvan | 39c | 53.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…dcdebacked Guiomar Maristany | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Guiomar Maristany | 59c | 51.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kaja Juvan | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Guiomar Maristany | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Kaja Juvan | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Kaja Juvan | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Kaja Juvan | 62c | 29.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kaja Juvan | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Guiomar Maristany | 41c | 24.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Kaja Juvan | 47c | 23.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kaja Juvan | 60c | 17.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.