Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Elizara Yaneva vs Ayla Aksu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc015fe8cf0db09f012b1334826bac6c64f2e3217e1e2235f2b75e7af3cbc71ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elizara Yanevaof Elizara Yaneva, Ayla Aksu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elizara Yaneva | 61c | 2,539$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.77 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Ayla Aksu | 44c | 2,420$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.43 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Ayla Aksu | 8c | 1,499$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ayla Aksu | 28c | 1,067$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elizara Yaneva | 69c | 557.58$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Ayla Aksu | 44c | 295$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Ayla Aksu | 34c | 243.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ayla Aksu | 46c | 207$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…ecc5backed Ayla Aksu | 26c | 133.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elizara Yaneva | 56c | 128.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Elizara Yaneva | 68c | 121.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Ayla Aksu | 28c | 118.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ayla Aksu | 23c | 94.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Elizara Yaneva | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Elizara Yaneva | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Elizara Yaneva | 55c | 85.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Elizara Yaneva | 55c | 82.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Ayla Aksu | 46c | 75.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Elizara Yaneva | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elizara Yaneva | 67c | 51.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Ayla Aksu | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Ayla Aksu | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Elizara Yaneva | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Elizara Yaneva | 61c | 40.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bd45backed Ayla Aksu | 36c | 38.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Ayla Aksu | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Ayla Aksu | 46c | 32.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Ayla Aksu | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Elizara Yaneva | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Elizara Yaneva | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Ayla Aksu | 42c | 24.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Ayla Aksu | 45c | 23.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Ayla Aksu | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Elizara Yaneva | 63c | 22.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…98d0backed Ayla Aksu | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Elizara Yaneva | 56c | 20.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Elizara Yaneva | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Elizara Yaneva | 72c | 19.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.