TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 3: Joel Schwaerzler vs Chun-Hsin Tseng

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Joel Schwaerzlerof Joel Schwaerzler, Chun-Hsin Tseng
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng29c3,694$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.337,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Joel Schwaerzler71c3,401$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.188,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Chun-Hsin Tseng27c2,507$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.6814822.3%33 W · 115 L-14.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng46c2,411$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.254345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Joel Schwaerzler71c1,383$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.852,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Chun-Hsin Tseng9c1,353$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.865,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chun-Hsin Tseng23c1,337$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Joel Schwaerzler76c1,297$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2446473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Chun-Hsin Tseng45c1,193$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.997745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Chun-Hsin Tseng2c1,105$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.571,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng14c857.76$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2228726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng47c599.98$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Joel Schwaerzler54c585.67$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.21,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Joel Schwaerzler64c492.79$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.976,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Joel Schwaerzler55c354.69$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3165952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Chun-Hsin Tseng29c346.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4120331%63 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Chun-Hsin Tseng5c321.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0285624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Chun-Hsin Tseng5c314.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5584736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Chun-Hsin Tseng42c287.26$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6567239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Chun-Hsin Tseng36c282.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5534047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Joel Schwaerzler74c266.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.171,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng11c259.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.347,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng19c252.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9548214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…4bcdbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng6c236.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1614333.6%48 W · 95 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2381…ebe4backed Joel Schwaerzler69c228.65$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.885959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Joel Schwaerzler73c211.51$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.564,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Chun-Hsin Tseng31c210.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.741,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e66…9148backed Chun-Hsin Tseng47c203.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Joel Schwaerzler51c189.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.991,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Joel Schwaerzler69c183.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.291040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Joel Schwaerzler80c183$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe962…e914backed Joel Schwaerzler54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Chun-Hsin Tseng6c171.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Joel Schwaerzler64c163.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8476853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Joel Schwaerzler54c155.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5730349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Joel Schwaerzler74c149.75$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3692352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Joel Schwaerzler60c146.26$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8830555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Joel Schwaerzler71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.131,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Joel Schwaerzler56c128.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Joel Schwaerzler56c128.54$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9260355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Joel Schwaerzler57c128.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1448453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Joel Schwaerzler57c128.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.021,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Joel Schwaerzler57c126.44$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7918459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Joel Schwaerzler57c126.44$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7929652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Joel Schwaerzler54c125.44$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.71,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Joel Schwaerzler65c124.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.274,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Joel Schwaerzler74c117.59$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4257267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Joel Schwaerzler55c117.26$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7650156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Chun-Hsin Tseng45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.991,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Joel Schwaerzler71c95.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Chun-Hsin Tseng36c95.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2781457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng47c91.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.838754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Joel Schwaerzler54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4263052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Joel Schwaerzler54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4219055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Joel Schwaerzler55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.828454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Joel Schwaerzler74c74.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2450644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Chun-Hsin Tseng27c69.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.713,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x12ce…570abacked Joel Schwaerzler73c59.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.193650%18 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2080…d262backed Joel Schwaerzler54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.857437.8%28 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Joel Schwaerzler54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2349142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Chun-Hsin Tseng46c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.991,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Chun-Hsin Tseng32c49.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9664358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Joel Schwaerzler77c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4691880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Joel Schwaerzler72c46.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.892,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Joel Schwaerzler54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7123057%131 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591f…f067backed Joel Schwaerzler54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.715773.7%42 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Joel Schwaerzler79c44.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.423762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Joel Schwaerzler66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.626951.3%138 W · 131 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Joel Schwaerzler70c38.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6114533.1%48 W · 97 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Joel Schwaerzler69c36.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.266050%30 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a5…ba08backed Joel Schwaerzler54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.574050%20 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Joel Schwaerzler54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5788560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Chun-Hsin Tseng35c34.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0718447.3%87 W · 97 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Joel Schwaerzler57c33.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.152,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng35c32.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5826734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng35c30.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7936135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2b3…626abacked Joel Schwaerzler78c30.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.611758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Joel Schwaerzler67c29.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5957447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b1…5aafbacked Joel Schwaerzler54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.43988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+45.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Joel Schwaerzler54c23.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7474955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533d…b579backed Chun-Hsin Tseng47c21.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.084944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Joel Schwaerzler53c21.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Joel Schwaerzler74c21.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4770456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9803…719abacked Joel Schwaerzler54c19.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Joel Schwaerzler75c15.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7640548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.