MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1a09d4e60caa56c70684a0737978ae30a2cce22ac3df35d957eb5a1a2f50533
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 1,901$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.24 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 1,492$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.43 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.06 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 414.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 400.59$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 379.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…0ddfbacked Kia Tigers | 55c | 363.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…0c38backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 217.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 201.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 175$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Lotte Giants | 12c | 99.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 94.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 89.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 89.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 74c | 86.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 70.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 64.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 53.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 50.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 50.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 39.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 34.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 33.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lotte Giants | 39c | 30.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…2b49backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 25.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 21.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.