NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc210ffb49269a048b18eae95d6cbfcb1e4dc9bfdb83d9ce8512f5ff177a26af0

Rebuilt 48 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Rangersof Hurricanes, Rangers
Resolved: Dec 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,977 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf1ff…e56abacked Hurricanes	40c	57,919$23,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,167.79	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rangers	60c	34,518$20,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,807.33	881	51.2%451 W · 430 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers	60c	11,607$6,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,638.46	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Rangers	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	286	52.4%150 W · 136 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers	60c	2,989$1,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,195.6	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Rangers	60c	2,500$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	237	51.5%122 W · 115 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers	62c	1,984$1,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.49	793	50.1%397 W · 396 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Hurricanes	38c	1,500$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	360	38.6%139 W · 221 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rangers	60c	919.11$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.64	1,143	50.8%581 W · 562 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Rangers	60c	600$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	222	48.2%107 W · 115 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes	40c	467.5$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.6	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes	37c	301.56$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.58	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Rangers	60c	240$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	376	49.7%187 W · 189 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Hurricanes	38c	146.46$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.65	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Rangers	62c	140.32$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.32	396	49.5%196 W · 200 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Rangers	60c	121.5$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers	60c	120$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	792	51.1%405 W · 387 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	541	32.7%177 W · 364 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Rangers	60c	90$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	481	49.3%237 W · 244 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Rangers	60c	90$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	583	46.5%271 W · 312 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rangers	60c	90$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	472	49.2%232 W · 240 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Rangers	60c	72$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	263	48.7%128 W · 135 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Rangers	60c	72$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	271	48.7%132 W · 139 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Rangers	60c	60$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	295	50.2%148 W · 147 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Hurricanes	39c	54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	177	44.6%79 W · 98 L	-12.0wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Rangers	60c	54$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	264	48.9%129 W · 135 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rangers	60c	54$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	605	49.3%298 W · 307 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Rangers	60c	45$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	216	48.1%104 W · 112 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hurricanes	40c	42.06$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	1,202	60.1%722 W · 480 L	+51.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Rangers	60c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	161	50.9%82 W · 79 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Rangers	60c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	432	50.9%220 W · 212 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	204	47.5%97 W · 107 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	105	43.8%46 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	291	47.4%138 W · 153 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	130	46.2%60 W · 70 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	194	42.8%83 W · 111 L	-12.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	189	46%87 W · 102 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	190	46.8%89 W · 101 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Rangers	60c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	200	45.5%91 W · 109 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rangers	61c	29.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	740	54.5%403 W · 337 L	+22.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Rangers	60c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	147	46.9%69 W · 78 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Rangers	60c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	231	44.6%103 W · 128 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	98	52%51 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	175	52%91 W · 84 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	102	50%51 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	99	51.5%51 W · 48 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	209	42.6%89 W · 120 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	75	54.7%41 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	418	51.4%215 W · 203 L	+14.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Rangers	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
Rangers vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
Rangers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Under won
Rangers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event