Tennis · resolved market
Kosice: Martin Krumich vs Mathys Erhard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc26122236e3fa3bd520b9f9c51bef286ee8089be4cc8b659514395bfea280fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Krumichof Martin Krumich, Mathys Erhard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martin Krumich | 70c | 3,785$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.51 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Mathys Erhard | 42c | 1,665$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.67 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Mathys Erhard | 33c | 1,550$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Mathys Erhard | 44c | 1,311$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.15 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mathys Erhard | 12c | 1,291$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Mathys Erhard | 17c | 1,026$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Mathys Erhard | 49c | 910.17$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.71 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Martin Krumich | 58c | 884.62$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Martin Krumich | 66c | 863.19$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mathys Erhard | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Martin Krumich | 80c | 746.98$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Mathys Erhard | 30c | 684.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.35 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Mathys Erhard | 24c | 633.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Mathys Erhard | 31c | 467.74$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Martin Krumich | 70c | 422.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martin Krumich | 62c | 391.51$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Martin Krumich | 55c | 383.55$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Mathys Erhard | 40c | 348.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Mathys Erhard | 31c | 221.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mathys Erhard | 32c | 212.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Mathys Erhard | 47c | 212$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Mathys Erhard | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Mathys Erhard | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Mathys Erhard | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Mathys Erhard | 21c | 191.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mathys Erhard | 32c | 187.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mathys Erhard | 46c | 181.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Mathys Erhard | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mathys Erhard | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Mathys Erhard | 18c | 140.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Martin Krumich | 66c | 131.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Mathys Erhard | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Martin Krumich | 26c | 119$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Mathys Erhard | 42c | 117.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Martin Krumich | 58c | 114.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…7d02backed Mathys Erhard | 18c | 109.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Martin Krumich | 73c | 102.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Martin Krumich | 60c | 101.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Mathys Erhard | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Mathys Erhard | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Mathys Erhard | 41c | 99.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Martin Krumich | 57c | 98.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Martin Krumich | 56c | 94.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Martin Krumich | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mathys Erhard | 53c | 91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…526dbacked Mathys Erhard | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Martin Krumich | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Mathys Erhard | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Mathys Erhard | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Mathys Erhard | 30c | 54.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mathys Erhard | 22c | 50.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Martin Krumich | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Martin Krumich | 54c | 45.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Mathys Erhard | 40c | 42.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Martin Krumich | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Martin Krumich | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Martin Krumich | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Mathys Erhard | 32c | 38.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked Martin Krumich | 70c | 35.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Mathys Erhard | 31c | 33.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Martin Krumich | 70c | 33.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Martin Krumich | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Mathys Erhard | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Mathys Erhard | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Martin Krumich | 59c | 31.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Martin Krumich | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Martin Krumich | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Martin Krumich | 56c | 25.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Martin Krumich | 56c | 24.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Martin Krumich | 70c | 23.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 22.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Martin Krumich | 58c | 21.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Martin Krumich | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fd…7a2bbacked Martin Krumich | 76c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Mathys Erhard | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.