TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Forsaken vs Barcząca Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Barcząca Esportsof Forsaken, Barcząca Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2518…254fbacked Barcząca Esports50c4,515$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.6354555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Forsaken32c2,578$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.4561645.3%279 W · 337 L+36.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Barcząca Esports43c2,120$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.821,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Barcząca Esports38c1,972$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.7148147.2%227 W · 254 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Barcząca Esports48c1,739$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.4869259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Barcząca Esports26c1,687$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.711,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked Forsaken58c1,523$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.3610359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Forsaken35c1,296$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5514441.7%60 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Barcząca Esports31c964.31$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.381,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Forsaken74c950$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70382954.5%452 W · 377 L+3.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Barcząca Esports64c938.13$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1221261.3%130 W · 82 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Forsaken64c927.78$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.511,01447.6%483 W · 531 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked Barcząca Esports36c904.08$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.8117045.9%78 W · 92 L+16.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Barcząca Esports45c895.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49521344.6%95 W · 118 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Forsaken35c699.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.991,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed Forsaken33c699.96$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9916833.9%57 W · 111 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Forsaken74c666$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.846845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Forsaken44c639.45$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3624253.7%130 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Forsaken44c639.45$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3615753.5%84 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Forsaken68c599.41$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.617452.3%91 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Forsaken43c538.11$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.152,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Barcząca Esports39c534.11$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.391,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Forsaken46c490.1$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.728048.6%136 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Forsaken45c486$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.053,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Barcząca Esports43c420.93$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9324750.2%124 W · 123 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2364…18f2backed Barcząca Esports67c403.06$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0910168.3%69 W · 32 L+14.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Forsaken69c378.87$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26139755.4%220 W · 177 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed Forsaken56c355.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019335.2%68 W · 125 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Barcząca Esports42c355.15$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.872,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Barcząca Esports48c317.77$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.920966.5%139 W · 70 L+29.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Barcząca Esports66c294.84$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6519937.2%74 W · 125 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c3…f821backed Forsaken49c266.4$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.854850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Forsaken62c214.42$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.262,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Barcząca Esports42c209.3$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3918852.7%99 W · 89 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Barcząca Esports38c207.37$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1634040.6%138 W · 202 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Barcząca Esports46c192.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.631,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9773…94ecbacked Barcząca Esports48c179.17$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.563174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+43.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd28…26d9backed Barcząca Esports48c178.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.731471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed Barcząca Esports23c165.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12811936.1%43 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Forsaken57c162.66$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.522,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc904…2025backed Barcząca Esports48c147.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.534557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6609…4e73backed Forsaken51c135.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Barcząca Esports26c131$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9435654.8%195 W · 161 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Forsaken59c128.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.61926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick53cpaid-38.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed Barcząca Esports60c127.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4644355.5%246 W · 197 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Forsaken56c120.48$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.441,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Barcząca Esports26c119.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8748357.1%276 W · 207 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x924d…6cb9backed Barcząca Esports44c118.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.668252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Barcząca Esports43c113.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.448247.6%39 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Barcząca Esports45c111.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.841,01247%476 W · 536 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Barcząca Esports43c109.32$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8130253.6%162 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked Forsaken46c108.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1334858%202 W · 146 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Forsaken41c104.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6436458.8%214 W · 150 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Barcząca Esports73c101$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.861,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Barcząca Esports19c100.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.91,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Forsaken79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7926744.9%120 W · 147 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63e3…2040backed Barcząca Esports41c91.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.394850%24 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed Barcząca Esports66c87.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.767357.5%42 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Barcząca Esports35c87.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.789746.4%45 W · 52 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Forsaken60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Forsaken69c81.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5497744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Barcząca Esports46c74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.721544.7%96 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…4d10backed Forsaken68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4630…35c7backed Forsaken41c73.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014249.3%70 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Barcząca Esports27c71.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.316760.5%101 W · 66 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Forsaken73c71.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.911,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed Forsaken36c71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.899444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee2…a316backed Forsaken44c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Forsaken33c67.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3165725.9%170 W · 487 L-93.4wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1031…2febbacked Barcząca Esports43c65.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.562236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Forsaken79c63.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9913160.3%79 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Barcząca Esports49c63.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.274854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Forsaken64c62.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022855.7%127 W · 101 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Forsaken63c62.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.221,08239.5%427 W · 655 L-78.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Barcząca Esports48c60.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6323066.1%152 W · 78 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Barcząca Esports32c60.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2915361.4%94 W · 59 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcedf…218cbacked Barcząca Esports49c58.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.673174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+39.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Forsaken68c57.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3712945.7%59 W · 70 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Barcząca Esports37c57.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.571,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Barcząca Esports49c54.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.584358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b8…9223backed Barcząca Esports20c53.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Barcząca Esports59c50.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4225046%115 W · 135 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Forsaken60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014147.5%67 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Barcząca Esports36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Forsaken60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011551.3%59 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Barcząca Esports45c48.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4729162.2%181 W · 110 L+20.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e84…2e87backed Barcząca Esports43c45.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.548973%65 W · 24 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Forsaken70c44.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4642137.5%158 W · 263 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32be…df1cbacked Forsaken68c43.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb03…ac95backed Forsaken61c43.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed Barcząca Esports28c43.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3135758.5%209 W · 148 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3c…5937backed Barcząca Esports59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.379064.4%58 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Forsaken77c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9725555.7%142 W · 113 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…47dbbacked Forsaken30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217135.7%61 W · 110 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Forsaken67c39.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5329045.5%132 W · 158 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4c…2918backed Forsaken44c32.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9491…5eabbacked Barcząca Esports62c32.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Barcząca Esports43c32.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.269849%48 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a5…c1a9backed Barcząca Esports41c31.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Forsaken72c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.352,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.