MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc36f9d1519fbf8c27923e3f42d77eb84d8b3c6fa23e282c00495242f7eff0b6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 51c | 18,495$9,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 14,278$6,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 47c | 8,719$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.07 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 6,923$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.62 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 52c | 6,878$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.2 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 2,350$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 53c | 1,489$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.94 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,457$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 1,259$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.49 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 1,043$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 47c | 877$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.81 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 367.93$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 47c | 253.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 203.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 53c | 192.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 188.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Over | 57c | 174.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 21c | 155$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Under | 21c | 129.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 106.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 53c | 99.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 54c | 93.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 53c | 61.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 48c | 60.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…da6bbacked Over | 54c | 55.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 53c | 53.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…30febacked Under | 47c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…4280backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 46c | 46.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 24c | 43.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 54c | 42.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 48c | 41.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Under | 48c | 36.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 48c | 35.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 36c | 32.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 37c | 32.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506e…e41bbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 51c | 28.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Over | 51c | 27.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…05b5backed Under | 47c | 26.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…14edbacked Under | 47c | 25.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4756…d77abacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b8…2350backed Under | 48c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 61c | 19.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.