MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2bcbc6879b46a77fc280465533e27afa69fd99d6342c00c3b5cafb65badf9ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 42c | 5,071$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 39c | 2,377$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 2,155$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 1,396$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 1,344$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 849.68$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.31 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed New York Yankees | 39c | 769.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.22 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 588.59$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed New York Yankees | 55c | 585.33$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.1 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 500.02$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 392$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 388.71$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed New York Yankees | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago White Sox | 22c | 192.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked New York Yankees | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 135.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 135.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 120.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked New York Yankees | 39c | 117.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 106$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 102.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 95.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 80.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 74.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 74.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 38c | 72.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 65.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Yankees | 38c | 59.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…7027backed New York Yankees | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed New York Yankees | 39c | 50.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees | 39c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 39c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed New York Yankees | 39c | 48.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked New York Yankees | 39c | 48.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 48.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 40.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed New York Yankees | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed New York Yankees | 31c | 36.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 32.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…ba48backed New York Yankees | 40c | 25.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…02debacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 23.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 17.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.