Tennis · resolved market
Braunschweig: Niels McDonald vs Keegan Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d8df7d17f5ee1d4878a9aab27ef4a35af98098307b5dda79b83c53ef94bcf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niels McDonaldof Niels McDonald, Keegan Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keegan Smith | 23c | 2,264$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Niels McDonald | 73c | 2,044$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.38 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 1,737$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Niels McDonald | 76c | 1,633$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.44 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Niels McDonald | 66c | 1,605$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.78 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Keegan Smith | 18c | 1,075$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Keegan Smith | 8c | 1,013$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Keegan Smith | 46c | 1,006$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keegan Smith | 29c | 1,000$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Niels McDonald | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 817.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Niels McDonald | 76c | 785.91$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Keegan Smith | 44c | 679.66$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.26 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Keegan Smith | 15c | 660.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Niels McDonald | 72c | 652.05$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Niels McDonald | 57c | 620$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.92 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Keegan Smith | 43c | 600$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Keegan Smith | 28c | 452.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Keegan Smith | 14c | 372.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Keegan Smith | 43c | 362.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Niels McDonald | 55c | 362.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Niels McDonald | 19c | 361.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.13 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Niels McDonald | 58c | 323.18$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Keegan Smith | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed Keegan Smith | 30c | 276.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 124 | 23.4%29 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Niels McDonald | 76c | 257$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Niels McDonald | 54c | 254.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Keegan Smith | 45c | 245.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 237.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Keegan Smith | 44c | 229.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Niels McDonald | 52c | 224.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Niels McDonald | 70c | 213.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Niels McDonald | 55c | 208.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Niels McDonald | 57c | 204.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Keegan Smith | 50c | 200.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Niels McDonald | 79c | 190.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Niels McDonald | 50c | 189.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Niels McDonald | 76c | 185.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Niels McDonald | 51c | 162.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Niels McDonald | 55c | 146.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Keegan Smith | 29c | 139.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Keegan Smith | 40c | 124$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Niels McDonald | 79c | 114.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Keegan Smith | 19c | 107.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Keegan Smith | 42c | 100.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Keegan Smith | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Niels McDonald | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Keegan Smith | 29c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…79a0backed Niels McDonald | 55c | 90.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Keegan Smith | 23c | 85.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Keegan Smith | 19c | 85.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Niels McDonald | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Keegan Smith | 18c | 81.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Keegan Smith | 45c | 80.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79da…f465backed Keegan Smith | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 61.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Niels McDonald | 58c | 57.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Niels McDonald | 72c | 55.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 54.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Keegan Smith | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Keegan Smith | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Keegan Smith | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Keegan Smith | 28c | 48.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Keegan Smith | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Keegan Smith | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 35.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Niels McDonald | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Niels McDonald | 55c | 31.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Niels McDonald | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Keegan Smith | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Keegan Smith | 45c | 29.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Niels McDonald | 78c | 28.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Keegan Smith | 43c | 27.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Keegan Smith | 43c | 26.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Keegan Smith | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Niels McDonald | 59c | 23.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Niels McDonald | 54c | 23.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Niels McDonald | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Niels McDonald | 74c | 18.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braunschweig: Niels McDonald vs Keegan Smiththis page
- Set 1 Winner: McDonald vs SmithMcDonald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.