Europa Conference League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc44edc99b7e625405c7033312ffaeb8944ef349f84ffb9c4f0d7ec673cde1716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 21,630$10,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,471.1 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 37c | 21,216$7,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,444.39 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 17,004$10,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352.02 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 6,518$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.85 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 3,480$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.49 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 2,576$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.95 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 2,091$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.43 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 71c | 638.69$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Over | 44c | 600$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 533.61$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.51 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 69c | 421.59$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 379.69$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 366.73$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 79c | 352.91$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 347.06$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 30c | 323.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 65c | 309.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 71c | 297.69$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 289.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 272.76$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 71c | 220$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 30c | 216.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 58c | 214.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 49c | 188.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 48c | 176.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 28c | 175.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 35c | 150.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 47c | 127.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 111.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 48c | 103.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 50c | 97.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 56c | 82.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Under | 37c | 78.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 54c | 75.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 67c | 75.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 46c | 74.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 32c | 70.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Under | 61c | 60.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 52.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 70c | 50.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Over | 60c | 50.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 42.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 68c | 40.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Over | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 63c | 27.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 59c | 27.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Under | 56c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…da72backed Under | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 61c | 16.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 72c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)Kuopion PS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)Kuopion PS won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: Kuopion PS O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 1.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: Team to AdvanceUniversitatea Craiova CS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.