Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc52815fb0fe624299056087b9a4f106c8d69f3d9c5d76d5a79fb568bd678ccd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 4,548$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 4,207$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.64 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 25c | 3,459$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.05 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 1,957$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.01 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 65c | 1,162$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 67c | 999.96$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 953.68$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.41 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed No | 34c | 924.32$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 24c | 680.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 646.18$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.86 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 631.35$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.32 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…923bbacked Yes | 56c | 440.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 47c | 370.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 323.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 64c | 313.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 293.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.78 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 78c | 289.45$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 35c | 275.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 77c | 232.39$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed No | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 67c | 149.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…2c01backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Yes | 36c | 122.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 76c | 121.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 114$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 76c | 105.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed No | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 22c | 93.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 64c | 81.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 69c | 74.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked Yes | 65c | 59.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 34c | 58.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 44c | 53.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 33c | 51.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 76c | 48.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 76c | 45.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 36c | 40.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 60c | 39.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…a768backed Yes | 70c | 38.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 34.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 33.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0b…cf0cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fc52backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 71c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 66c | 26.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 65c | 25.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 49c | 23.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Yes | 56c | 23.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 66c | 18.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…3e28backed Yes | 60c | 17.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Yes | 64c | 15.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 66c | 15.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-14?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-08-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.