Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-08-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f3bf8dc094a261e288adcc3375afd33bdddc852c29f3d635f0a06c92b8b3cdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 2,204$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…58acbacked Yes | 40c | 1,772$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 1,639$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.72 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 1,495$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 34c | 1,481$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.54 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,440$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.24 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,389$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 1,005$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.91 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 62c | 800.67$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 66c | 778.88$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.82 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 697.71$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 66c | 598$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 73c | 489.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 40c | 487.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 448.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 24c | 417.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 38c | 341.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…c0b9backed No | 63c | 256.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 63c | 209.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 76c | 196$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 25c | 193$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 187.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 58c | 175.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed No | 62c | 160.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 156.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked No | 61c | 138.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 12c | 122.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 27c | 116.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 113.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 62c | 100.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 61c | 82.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…703bbacked Yes | 39c | 81.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…1388backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 40c | 74.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 66.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 19c | 59.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…7243backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 40c | 49.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked No | 70c | 45.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed No | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 60c | 44.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 42.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 38.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 33.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 66c | 33.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 32.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7a…ce3abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…b870backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 73c | 21.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 79c | 21.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 61c | 20.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-08-14?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.