CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc63e3741f03ce8d48eebaa28954ccb89b78313e4c6b1cf25edf9de7c3868d5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof TNC, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b78…e589backed TNC | 57c | 3,823$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.5 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 36c | 2,638$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.99 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked TNC | 65c | 2,428$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.7 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…180ebacked Phantom | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed TNC | 50c | 1,437$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.82 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 50c | 1,314$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.8 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Phantom | 29c | 672.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed TNC | 79c | 622.59$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked TNC | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 944 | 45.7%431 W · 513 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Phantom | 57c | 569.5$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.73 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Phantom | 48c | 556.25$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.47 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed TNC | 62c | 540.48$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 450 | 65.6%295 W · 155 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Phantom | 40c | 512.28$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 51c | 490$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Phantom | 52c | 463.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed TNC | 65c | 451.1$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed TNC | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked TNC | 51c | 426.26$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 41c | 396.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Phantom | 44c | 380.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 34c | 347.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Phantom | 44c | 342.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 789 | 52%410 W · 379 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed TNC | 52c | 326.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.43 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 51c | 306.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Phantom | 29c | 305.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed TNC | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Phantom | 48c | 297.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Phantom | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 48c | 246.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed TNC | 50c | 235.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TNC | 51c | 206.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phantom | 43c | 199.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed TNC | 67c | 193.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed TNC | 49c | 190.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Phantom | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed TNC | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Phantom | 18c | 166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Phantom | 50c | 147.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 308 | 41.6%128 W · 180 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 34c | 120.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed TNC | 49c | 116.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Phantom | 53c | 107.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Phantom | 32c | 103.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed TNC | 36c | 100.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 249 | 43%107 W · 142 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed TNC | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Phantom | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked TNC | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed TNC | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…14f6backed Phantom | 48c | 99.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 46cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed TNC | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 61c | 89.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TNC | 68c | 88.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC | 39c | 84.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Phantom | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Phantom | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…038fbacked Phantom | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed TNC | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Phantom | 53c | 73.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…bc06backed Phantom | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Phantom | 17c | 68.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed Phantom | 50c | 64.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Phantom | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Phantom | 40c | 61.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…7e01backed TNC | 70c | 57.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed TNC | 56c | 54.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Phantom | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked TNC | 51c | 51.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed Phantom | 56c | 51.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed TNC | 69c | 50.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked TNC | 78c | 49.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Phantom | 25c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Phantom | 39c | 48.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed TNC | 49c | 43.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…40c4backed TNC | 60c | 35.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TNC | 41c | 33.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed TNC | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f93fbacked TNC | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…3496backed TNC | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerTNC won
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.