Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc65a8db1048c1506f7907b3b06b199cee0023d864757366006b49bc62032210a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 68c | 4,222$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.95 | 1,571 | 54.6%858 W · 713 L | +37.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 67c | 1,542$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.88 | 776 | 40.7%316 W · 460 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239e…cb80backed Over | 32c | 1,488$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 71c | 1,130$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.24 | 233 | 65.7%153 W · 80 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 534 | 36.5%195 W · 339 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 29c | 906.12$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 2,309 | 33%761 W · 1,548 L | -77.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 27c | 903.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 1,071 | 55%589 W · 482 L | +54.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Over | 32c | 519.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.26 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 55c | 445.66$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.19 | 356 | 51.4%183 W · 173 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 68c | 422.47$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 2,223 | 53.4%1,186 W · 1,037 L | +60.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 2,614 | 47.2%1,233 W · 1,381 L | -40.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 237.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 2,656 | 39.7%1,055 W · 1,601 L | -86.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 32c | 215$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 3,126 | 44.7%1,397 W · 1,729 L | -95.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Over | 41c | 210$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 231 | 42%97 W · 134 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…e022backed Under | 69c | 199.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Over | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 56c | 174.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 386 | 50%193 W · 193 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 32c | 171.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 62c | 153$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 205 | 31.7%65 W · 140 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 68c | 144.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 273 | 53.5%146 W · 127 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 34c | 144.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 2,124 | 30.7%652 W · 1,472 L | -177.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 67c | 117.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 1,262 | 39.8%502 W · 760 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 60c | 113.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 254 | 33.9%86 W · 168 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…d954backed Over | 32c | 97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 89.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 377 | 44.6%168 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 32c | 82.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 66c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 274 | 44.5%122 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 70c | 74.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 2,770 | 36%998 W · 1,772 L | -154.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…dc59backed Over | 51c | 68.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Under | 56c | 55.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 426 | 40.8%174 W · 252 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…ddcabacked Over | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b53…db22backed Under | 48c | 35.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3,239 | 34.1%1,103 W · 2,136 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…c6c5backed Under | 65c | 33.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 67c | 31.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 68c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1,116 | 44.9%501 W · 615 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 313 | 46.3%145 W · 168 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…8d69backed Under | 68c | 24.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa806…d49dbacked Under | 68c | 24.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 321 | 45.2%145 W · 176 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,944 | 35.9%698 W · 1,246 L | -98.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1,507 | 43.8%660 W · 847 L | -29.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Over | 79c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.