Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jiri Lehecka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6689f0480bba9ea4476194de10944f3fd0d3dd896cfdc6a9648bda1d8d817e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rinderknechof Rinderknech, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Lehecka | 75c | 6,000$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Rinderknech | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rinderknech | 27c | 2,752$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.89 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Rinderknech | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Lehecka | 64c | 1,427$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.61 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Rinderknech | 27c | 1,240$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.85 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rinderknech | 70c | 1,081$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Lehecka | 28c | 1,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Lehecka | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Lehecka | 72c | 971.55$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.71 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Rinderknech | 28c | 866.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.67 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lehecka | 27c | 818$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rinderknech | 39c | 804.51$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Lehecka | 33c | 754.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lehecka | 73c | 676.84$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.05 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Lehecka | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Rinderknech | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Lehecka | 39c | 537$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Lehecka | 71c | 508.62$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rinderknech | 45c | 499.83$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rinderknech | 62c | 433.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…4f3fbacked Rinderknech | 37c | 399.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rinderknech | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Rinderknech | 28c | 356.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Lehecka | 31c | 307.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lehecka | 70c | 306.39$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.67 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Lehecka | 75c | 300$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Lehecka | 51c | 290$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Rinderknech | 30c | 289.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Rinderknech | 43c | 273.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lehecka | 31c | 263$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Rinderknech | 28c | 233$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Rinderknech | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Lehecka | 63c | 165.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed Lehecka | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rinderknech | 28c | 143$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Rinderknech | 60c | 142$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lehecka | 43c | 130.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Rinderknech | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Lehecka | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rinderknech | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rinderknech | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Lehecka | 61c | 98.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Lehecka | 43c | 82.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…fad8backed Rinderknech | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lehecka | 36c | 73.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Rinderknech | 33c | 73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Lehecka | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lehecka | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Lehecka | 70c | 53.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Rinderknech | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Rinderknech | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rinderknech | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Rinderknech | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Lehecka | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…da05backed Lehecka | 72c | 42.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Lehecka | 72c | 41.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Lehecka | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Rinderknech | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Lehecka | 72c | 21.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.