Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Raphael Perot vs Robin Bertrand
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc685a3657a67f98701b5e352f1bce6a455780700e9664418e09b9705adcb55f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Perotof Raphael Perot, Robin Bertrand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Robin Bertrand | 20c | 2,445$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Robin Bertrand | 13c | 960.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robin Bertrand | 24c | 913.61$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Robin Bertrand | 10c | 730$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Raphael Perot | 69c | 652.08$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.14 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Robin Bertrand | 31c | 651.25$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Robin Bertrand | 31c | 639.13$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Robin Bertrand | 2c | 557.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Raphael Perot | 69c | 430.19$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Robin Bertrand | 24c | 386.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Raphael Perot | 66c | 384.52$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Raphael Perot | 72c | 357.37$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Raphael Perot | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Robin Bertrand | 32c | 303.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Raphael Perot | 72c | 280.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Raphael Perot | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Raphael Perot | 72c | 242.41$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Robin Bertrand | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Robin Bertrand | 52c | 189.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Raphael Perot | 72c | 182.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robin Bertrand | 24c | 143.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Robin Bertrand | 14c | 104.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Robin Bertrand | 33c | 104.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Robin Bertrand | 19c | 103.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Robin Bertrand | 34c | 101.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Raphael Perot | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Robin Bertrand | 22c | 95.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Raphael Perot | 66c | 91.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Raphael Perot | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Robin Bertrand | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Robin Bertrand | 20c | 74.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Robin Bertrand | 31c | 67.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Raphael Perot | 59c | 65.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Robin Bertrand | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Raphael Perot | 67c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Robin Bertrand | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Raphael Perot | 63c | 51.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Raphael Perot | 74c | 51.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Raphael Perot | 58c | 50.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Raphael Perot | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Raphael Perot | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…b0ccbacked Robin Bertrand | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Robin Bertrand | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raphael Perot | 72c | 43.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Robin Bertrand | 28c | 42.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Raphael Perot | 66c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Raphael Perot | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Robin Bertrand | 38c | 31.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Robin Bertrand | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Raphael Perot | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Raphael Perot | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Raphael Perot | 78c | 26.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Raphael Perot | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf228…c44abacked Robin Bertrand | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Raphael Perot | 68c | 20.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Raphael Perot | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Raphael Perot | 68c | 19.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Raphael Perot | 66c | 17.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Raphael Perot | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Raphael Perot | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.