Tennis · resolved market
ITF Taipei: Sakura Hosogi vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a8f9778f6598e81fefc895f0de8b77448ac1910f592aba7938a4cb127b5f5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Priska Madelyn Nugrohoof Sakura Hosogi, Priska Madelyn Nugroho
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 68c | 11,366$7,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.26 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Sakura Hosogi | 33c | 10,812$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.08 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sakura Hosogi | 28c | 4,978$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 50c | 2,398$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.61 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Sakura Hosogi | 46c | 1,427$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 62c | 777.09$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.06 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 41c | 756.56$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.24 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 35c | 526.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 63c | 435.43$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.48 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Sakura Hosogi | 47c | 415.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sakura Hosogi | 51c | 372.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sakura Hosogi | 23c | 339.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 59c | 337.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sakura Hosogi | 7c | 334$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sakura Hosogi | 57c | 333.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sakura Hosogi | 15c | 331.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sakura Hosogi | 50c | 326.8$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Sakura Hosogi | 44c | 284.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 53c | 256.6$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 58c | 191.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 51c | 177.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Sakura Hosogi | 13c | 155.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sakura Hosogi | 63c | 150$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 44c | 146.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…64e4backed Sakura Hosogi | 52c | 142.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 43c | 133.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 76c | 127.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 79c | 127.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Sakura Hosogi | 23c | 103.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 64c | 101.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 58c | 95.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Sakura Hosogi | 35c | 88.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Sakura Hosogi | 41c | 74.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 63c | 62.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 71c | 56.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 64c | 46.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 73c | 41.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…f2f8backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Sakura Hosogi | 51c | 39.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 55c | 32.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sakura Hosogi | 33c | 32.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sakura Hosogi | 63c | 31.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…7c5dbacked Sakura Hosogi | 63c | 31.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 54c | 29.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Sakura Hosogi | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 66c | 26.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 62c | 25.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 69c | 20.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 67c | 19.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…3f90backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 67c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 65c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Priska Madelyn Nugroho | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.