Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c7f81df48bcf3334d63ffcf966fd74297ff14d3078959674b5de7e9ab02cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,690$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 57c | 1,336$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.5 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Under | 42c | 1,296$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.79 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 11c | 1,112$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 967.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 80c | 809.98$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.32 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 6c | 727.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 59c | 624.55$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.16 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 74c | 421.78$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 7c | 386.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 7c | 384.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 17c | 295.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Under | 40c | 255$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 23c | 196.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 8c | 152.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Over | 22c | 118.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 111.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 39c | 91.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 65c | 77.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 35c | 69.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 56c | 52.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Under | 46c | 49.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 62c | 48.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 76c | 37.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5this page
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Scotland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.