Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf66802255767d886dfb00a11e1b5818e56cc4ae6bfe077c0521ecca198f24f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,634$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 2,242$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9462…4dbdbacked Under | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 20c | 1,228$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.87 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 797$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 686.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.68 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under | 74c | 679.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 18c | 555.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.47 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 412.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.9 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 12c | 279.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.54 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Under | 46c | 243.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 232.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 32c | 173.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 18c | 156.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.47 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 37c | 119.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 118.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 79c | 117.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 78c | 89.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 22c | 75.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 22c | 73.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 78c | 73.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 30c | 67.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 78c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 54c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Under | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 80c | 26.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 57c | 20.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 80c | 20.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…7347backed Over | 53c | 20.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5this page
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Scotland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.