Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x150d384308e0a4e2b96f1dd9ae3f889e425493db94c5e41a91ee2c71fffe24fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Scotlandof Scotland, Curaçao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Scotland | 56c | 1,502$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.97 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Curaçao | 50c | 1,360$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.52 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Curaçao | 55c | 915$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.32 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Scotland | 46c | 601.09$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Curaçao | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Curaçao | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Scotland | 34c | 384.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.9 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Scotland | 69c | 384.71$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Curaçao | 73c | 379.46$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.57 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Curaçao | 31c | 376.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Curaçao | 54c | 361.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Scotland | 60c | 301.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Curaçao | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Scotland | 50c | 240.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Scotland | 40c | 220.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Scotland | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Scotland | 47c | 191.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Curaçao | 67c | 184.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Scotland | 18c | 167.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Scotland | 32c | 161.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked Curaçao | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Scotland | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Scotland | 53c | 101.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Scotland | 50c | 97.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Scotland | 42c | 77.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Curaçao | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Scotland | 29c | 69.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Scotland | 57c | 63.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Curaçao | 40c | 61.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Scotland | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Scotland | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Curaçao | 39c | 48.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Scotland | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Scotland | 57c | 47.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Scotland | 65c | 43.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Scotland | 36c | 42.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…470dbacked Scotland | 52c | 40.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff64…9636backed Curaçao | 52c | 30.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Scotland | 53c | 30.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Curaçao | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Scotland | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Scotland | 61c | 28.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Curaçao | 40c | 28.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Curaçao | 39c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Curaçao | 48c | 26.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…549cbacked Scotland | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Scotland | 49c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Scotland | 53c | 21.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Scotland | 56c | 19.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)this page
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Scotland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.