Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273f9710b5c1a9d73bbef5b1b72193e17b3a7075655d1a482edd3f46dbe77ce4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 55c | 5,403$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.12 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 3,265$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.97 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 38c | 1,613$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.22 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 1,109$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 45c | 755.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.39 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 714.24$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.99 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.55 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 61c | 441.72$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.45 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 338.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 52c | 274.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Under | 66c | 240.19$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.53 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 41c | 237.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 45c | 202.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 196.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 59c | 180.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 135$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…41e9backed Over | 45c | 84.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…d2c2backed Under | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 57.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 62c | 54.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 53.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 39c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 67c | 45.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 35.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 65c | 33.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 38c | 30.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…8688backed Under | 74c | 20.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 65c | 18.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5this page
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Over won
- Scotland vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Scotland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.