Tennis · resolved market
ITF Laval: Karl Poling vs Kenta Miyoshi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6cad7db1f27e0370f2ad3bc390380cf4d2d94a0655c0110ba7ed655b9b58f3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kenta Miyoshiof Karl Poling, Kenta Miyoshi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 80c | 7,416$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.35 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Karl Poling | 16c | 2,764$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.23 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karl Poling | 12c | 2,438$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Karl Poling | 27c | 1,538$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.48 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Karl Poling | 35c | 479.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Karl Poling | 28c | 345.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Karl Poling | 28c | 341.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Karl Poling | 26c | 330.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Karl Poling | 7c | 324.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Karl Poling | 19c | 295.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Karl Poling | 19c | 290$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Karl Poling | 26c | 289.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Karl Poling | 19c | 281.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Karl Poling | 15c | 239$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kenta Miyoshi | 63c | 238.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Karl Poling | 37c | 208.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Karl Poling | 40c | 206.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Karl Poling | 16c | 198.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Karl Poling | 16c | 188.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Karl Poling | 17c | 155$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Karl Poling | 26c | 154.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Kenta Miyoshi | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karl Poling | 13c | 126.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Karl Poling | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kenta Miyoshi | 63c | 98.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Karl Poling | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Kenta Miyoshi | 62c | 83.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Karl Poling | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Karl Poling | 27c | 77.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Kenta Miyoshi | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Karl Poling | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kenta Miyoshi | 73c | 61.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Karl Poling | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Karl Poling | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 75c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kenta Miyoshi | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kenta Miyoshi | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kenta Miyoshi | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Kenta Miyoshi | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kenta Miyoshi | 78c | 20.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kenta Miyoshi | 74c | 13.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Laval: Karl Poling vs Kenta Miyoshithis page
- Poling vs. Miyoshi: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.