Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72dbea9d2bd63ce83f6b94bb8c2d516b753939f49b0feafac817c7b8447f97e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bad…b337backed No | 1c | 2,874$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 64c | 582.29$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.07 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 359.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 40c | 353.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 23c | 329.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.82 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 4c | 322.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 62c | 322.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 10c | 239.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…f673backed Yes | 36c | 214.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 50c | 206.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed Yes | 33c | 174.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 40c | 145.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 139.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 139.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 51c | 115.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…372fbacked Yes | 37c | 114.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd1…c53bbacked Yes | 25c | 107.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 13cpaid | +310.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 100.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 99.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 79c | 95.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…997fbacked Yes | 56c | 93.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 93.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 23c | 81.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…aadfbacked Yes | 51c | 78.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 63c | 72.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 63c | 72.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 63c | 72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…e718backed No | 66c | 71.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…8e18backed Yes | 55c | 70.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 39c | 69.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 67.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 62c | 64.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 68c | 64.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 63.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 45c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yes | 37c | 56.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 65c | 52.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed No | 55c | 52.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 52.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 38c | 51.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…06a2backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa2…931bbacked Yes | 38c | 49.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 64c | 48.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 37c | 48.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 65c | 47.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 38c | 46.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…7eabbacked No | 66c | 43.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 67c | 43.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 38c | 43.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 64c | 41.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 44c | 36.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 52c | 36.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed No | 55c | 35.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 34c | 34.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…555fbacked No | 49c | 33.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 35c | 32.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 35c | 32.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked No | 56c | 31.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 38c | 31.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed No | 39c | 30.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0038…ad0dbacked Yes | 35c | 30.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 59c | 30.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes | 38c | 29.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 42c | 27.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 65c | 25.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed Yes | 46c | 24.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 67c | 21.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 67c | 21.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Yes | 56c | 20.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 63c | 19.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…8474backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 65c | 17.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ace3backed No | 66c | 15.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…e255backed Yes | 80c | 15.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.