TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 3.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,202 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7cd…093abacked Under27c722.58$198 inLost-$19828822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over69c535.52$370 inWon+$166.0167354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over69c351.03$242 inWon+$108.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3396…2448backed Under31c150$47 inLost-$46.57746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Over70c143.28$100 inWon+$43.2820539%80 W · 125 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under30c142.62$43 inLost-$42.7985851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c138.81$44 inLost-$43.913,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under30c135$41 inLost-$40.526155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under30c128.12$38 inLost-$38.4434357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over70c91.26$64 inWon+$27.681,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa95c…1b63backed Over66c67.42$44 inWon+$22.92785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Over67c59.7$40 inWon+$19.712860.2%77 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa67…2b80backed Over76c52.83$40 inWon+$12.831050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c51.62$16 inLost-$15.813,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under35c33.85$12 inLost-$11.852,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8087…6d7abacked Over65c30.77$20 inWon+$10.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Over69c21.64$15 inWon+$6.6423062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over67c20.27$14 inWon+$6.6923950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.