Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x383a335bfc5d3e44fd0779aa8006085be2a48b2755657ea46cc83cbcdcaf2d11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Under | 43c | 2,304$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1baf…ed2dbacked Over | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…51bbbacked Over | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 57c | 1,649$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.24 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 57c | 1,406$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.33 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 41c | 1,384$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.58 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 57c | 812.66$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.43 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 7c | 598.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Under | 44c | 559.46$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 30c | 511.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…41adbacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed Under | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Under | 43c | 287.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 278.18$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 41c | 275.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Under | 42c | 238.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 58c | 188.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 58c | 147.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 58c | 115.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 39c | 110.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…9f42backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 41c | 78.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 57c | 78.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 57c | 75.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 39c | 58.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 67c | 54.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Under | 42c | 47.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 39c | 39.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…04d8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…e52ebacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…3264backed Over | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed Over | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…8d37backed Over | 62c | 20.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Take First CornerNetherlands won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.