Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec8be91eeb617ed4827f524be978da816cb72f31d61d52367477f276d481203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 38c | 3,460$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.97 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 58c | 1,496$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.74 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…a272backed Under | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 603.66$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.66 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 38c | 557.46$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.62 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 17c | 242.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 12c | 237.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 37c | 194.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 171.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 151.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Under | 58c | 128.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 104.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 104.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 104.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…0182backed Under | 58c | 98.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 61c | 73.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Under | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…b31cbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Under | 58c | 49.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…9a13backed Under | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Under | 63c | 47.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 44c | 43.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 56c | 41.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 39.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…d1f3backed Under | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…7d1dbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 62c | 33.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 37c | 31.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 67c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…fa0abacked Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…06a4backed Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Netherlands O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Take First CornerNetherlands won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.