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Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x437b…fab1backed Under45c2,211$1,003 inLost-$1,002.792050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under48c1,848$887 inLost-$887.1685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over53c1,500$795 inWon+$704.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939e…0a64backed Over53c759.07$400 inWon+$359.074456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c700$385 inWon+$3153,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under47c694.04$326 inLost-$326.226155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa14b…4ff2backed Under48c550$264 inLost-$2641526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over54c501$271 inWon+$230.4661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c496.53$273 inWon+$223.443,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over51c451.05$232 inWon+$219.541,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbc…5dcebacked Under47c336.51$158 inLost-$158.165451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under50c257.47$128 inLost-$127.8634330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost-$10013247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over49c204.72$100 inWon+$104.7256240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over51c172.55$88 inWon+$84.5562452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over19c161.76$31 inWon+$130.5680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over44c156$69 inWon+$87.362,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c144.23$63 inWon+$80.772,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c128$60 inLost-$60.163,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under49c114$56 inLost-$55.8643145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over52c100$52 inWon+$4832254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over51c85$43 inWon+$41.83,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under47c72.82$34 inLost-$34.482,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over53c65$34 inWon+$30.552,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked Over53c56.51$30 inWon+$26.5120049%98 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over53c42.33$22 inWon+$19.91,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over50c36.3$18 inWon+$18.0886656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon+$15.7128850.3%145 W · 143 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.