CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7ffe2eb3d0dc2c934c8994528a375ce727ce58ea8b19a8e29bbc69b6a455512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Phantom | 78c | 6,933$5,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.42 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Phantom | 61c | 2,419$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.78 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed G2 Ares | 15c | 1,358$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked G2 Ares | 6c | 1,333$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Ares | 39c | 1,295$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.28 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Phantom | 50c | 1,207$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.11 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 Ares | 47c | 1,062$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.52 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 65c | 963.75$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked G2 Ares | 36c | 871.6$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 665.67$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.51 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed G2 Ares | 34c | 586.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 28c | 520.57$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked G2 Ares | 22c | 428.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Phantom | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phantom | 58c | 358.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 36c | 315.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 39c | 253.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Phantom | 54c | 246.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 32c | 214.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 67c | 184.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed G2 Ares | 38c | 159.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 157$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 Ares | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked G2 Ares | 34c | 129.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Ares | 33c | 128.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 36c | 127.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked G2 Ares | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 27c | 105.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed G2 Ares | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked G2 Ares | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked G2 Ares | 20c | 94.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed G2 Ares | 28c | 90.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked G2 Ares | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Phantom | 72c | 69.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Phantom | 61c | 67.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked G2 Ares | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed G2 Ares | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed G2 Ares | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Ares | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed G2 Ares | 23c | 54.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked G2 Ares | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Phantom | 43c | 46.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Phantom | 67c | 46.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…b949backed G2 Ares | 33c | 45.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed G2 Ares | 66c | 21.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Phantom | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Phantom | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.