TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phantomof Phantom, G2 Ares
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16bc…decabacked G2 Ares29c9,482$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.6519229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Phantom72c6,195$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.692456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Phantom75c2,900$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.233,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed G2 Ares27c2,650$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Ares24c2,130$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.632,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Phantom55c1,483$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.275056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Phantom70c1,448$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom75c1,437$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.56,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom70c1,232$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.252,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Phantom74c1,120$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.063,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares30c1,110$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom68c1,005$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.654,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed G2 Ares29c844.02$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5280942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Phantom79c677.06$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8851942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares15c636.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.343,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed G2 Ares26c559.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.639245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked G2 Ares28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14075833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed G2 Ares16c490.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.231,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked G2 Ares12c438.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5412727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed G2 Ares16c433.83$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6912750.4%64 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Phantom78c399.99$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.152,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Phantom67c391.36$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.514,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed G2 Ares26c370$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5415641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked G2 Ares24c362.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Ares6c356.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.241,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked G2 Ares28c287$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1944747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Phantom70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7122567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked G2 Ares20c271.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.371,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked G2 Ares25c189.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.771,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares27c189.79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.492,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed G2 Ares28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares28c179.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.954,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed G2 Ares28c177.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.761,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom73c164.85$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.14,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Phantom65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.535861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33ad…a123backed G2 Ares33c142.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0912946.5%60 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Phantom68c140.41$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9347054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked G2 Ares30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4248242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Phantom59c138.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6727647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked G2 Ares30c134.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Phantom71c131.62$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.171,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Phantom61c130$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.726554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e2…40b6backed G2 Ares11c126.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Phantom63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3793261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares27c95.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.012,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares22c92.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.822,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed G2 Ares32c90.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.871,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c6b…b949backed G2 Ares27c74.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked G2 Ares31c72.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.469837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f4d…6211backed Phantom69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Phantom72c72.41$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2761054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed G2 Ares28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom62c65.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.893,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Phantom73c63.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0678963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Phantom68c58.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8720147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Phantom64c52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.565,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x611f…1f84backed G2 Ares32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Ares23c49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.152,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Phantom75c46.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed G2 Ares30c45.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5337848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffae…55c0backed G2 Ares30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211632.8%38 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9651…65dabacked G2 Ares35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+66.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddfc…692dbacked G2 Ares27c38.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.489048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fdb…0d6fbacked G2 Ares29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1511639.7%46 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed G2 Ares30c34.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4141437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0296…ad01backed G2 Ares32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104163.4%26 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x503c…4574backed Phantom70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2a…ee7fbacked Phantom65c28.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Phantom70c28.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.617963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Phantom69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.682,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Phantom72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7821060%126 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Phantom70c25.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5813244.7%59 W · 73 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Phantom67c23.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab85…0939backed Phantom73c21.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.92540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Phantom69c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6416361.3%100 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Phantom69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Phantom72c17.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9249149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.