CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed62b0c48d3e533bd1ca2985647f72f01288ae978a40e1f245dbbef57e6d27e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked G2 Ares | 52c | 5,527$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.05 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Phantom | 69c | 3,940$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.34 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked G2 Ares | 49c | 1,593$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.21 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 Ares | 50c | 1,551$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.44 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Ares | 50c | 1,534$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked G2 Ares | 50c | 1,361$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.85 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 66c | 830$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.69 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Phantom | 35c | 713.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.83 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 46c | 682$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.44 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed G2 Ares | 30c | 637.57$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 469.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed G2 Ares | 44c | 358.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 312.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 26c | 305.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 289.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 55c | 280.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 259.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Phantom | 61c | 232.72$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 22c | 224.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked G2 Ares | 11c | 188.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 53c | 182.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 53c | 177.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Ares | 28c | 177$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Phantom | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked G2 Ares | 49c | 154.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 53c | 149.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Phantom | 54c | 141.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Phantom | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Phantom | 71c | 138$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 42c | 135.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 19c | 132.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 48c | 131.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Phantom | 50c | 123.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked G2 Ares | 42c | 120.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked G2 Ares | 31c | 116.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 107.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 103.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed G2 Ares | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Phantom | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Phantom | 42c | 95.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Phantom | 59c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 43c | 89.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Phantom | 48c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Phantom | 58c | 68.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…0939backed Phantom | 68c | 60.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Phantom | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Phantom | 58c | 34.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked G2 Ares | 48c | 31.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Phantom | 69c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Phantom | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.