Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Georgia Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc966a2fc7ca8dc3adde08dd47bdbfccf530e5ce569d8aab40e36435e05be724d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Bulldogsof Arkansas Razorbacks, Georgia Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 7,808$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 56c | 4,682$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Georgia Bulldogs | 57c | 2,974$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.55 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Georgia Bulldogs | 58c | 2,440$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.99 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 75c | 2,000$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.99 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 9c | 1,385$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 24c | 1,301$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.24 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 19c | 1,219$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 1,208$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.03 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Georgia Bulldogs | 57c | 1,187$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 24c | 1,187$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.91 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Georgia Bulldogs | 56c | 1,020$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.95 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 995$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.9 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Georgia Bulldogs | 54c | 970.3$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.34 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 15c | 969.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 854$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.03 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 59c | 661$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 77c | 619.79$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 581.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 16c | 427.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 37c | 386.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 62c | 378.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 3c | 363.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Georgia Bulldogs | 79c | 314.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 55c | 250.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 235$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 11c | 227.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 5c | 209.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Georgia Bulldogs | 59c | 200.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 142$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6928backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 57c | 116.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 91.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Georgia Bulldogs | 71c | 73.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 35c | 66.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…f229backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 40c | 62.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia Bulldogs | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 71c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 24.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Georgia Bulldogs | 57c | 23.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Georgia Bulldogsthis page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 181.5Under won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 182.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)Georgia Bulldogs won
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)Georgia Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.