Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9bcc60c3c2249eca3e1d47c5b1aa1710a23ad1d9aca85e9e2d4c37b15fe3a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof Liberty Flames, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Liberty Flames | 56c | 1,873$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.58 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 44c | 1,727$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.57 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 47c | 1,652$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.59 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Liberty Flames | 62c | 1,328$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.11 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 24c | 1,224$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 41c | 1,131$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.73 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liberty Flames | 58c | 988.02$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.85 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 42c | 915.52$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.52 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Liberty Flames | 58c | 844.26$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 34c | 733.96$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.48 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liberty Flames | 53c | 723.61$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 600$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 43c | 471$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 47c | 453.48$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Liberty Flames | 58c | 394.9$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 354$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 42c | 267.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 256$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 244.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 239.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 47c | 191.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 190.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 190.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Liberty Flames | 68c | 185.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Liberty Flames | 65c | 179$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Liberty Flames | 59c | 174.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 174.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 38c | 171.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 22c | 150.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liberty Flames | 62c | 146.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Liberty Flames | 53c | 128$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 17c | 125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 30c | 115.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Liberty Flames | 57c | 113.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Liberty Flames | 66c | 107$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Liberty Flames | 52c | 95.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Liberty Flames | 78c | 94.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 81.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liberty Flames | 49c | 80.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Liberty Flames | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Liberty Flames | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Liberty Flames | 54c | 68.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 41c | 57.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Liberty Flames | 65c | 45.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 31c | 45.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 41c | 38.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Liberty Flames | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 39c | 35.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 58c | 34.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…c75abacked Liberty Flames | 54c | 30.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…0d1cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 30.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Liberty Flames | 58c | 30.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Liberty Flames | 74c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Liberty Flames | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 42c | 24.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 43c | 24.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Liberty Flames | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Liberty Flames | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberty Flames vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersthis page
- Liberty Flames vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-2.5)Liberty Flames won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-3.5)Liberty Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.