CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Benched gods - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9dc2f245e676bc99566bc46594b11ab9a5cd35511abe8c0e0051c80e3a17840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benched godsof ex-MANA eSports, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 36c | 3,470$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.83 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Benched gods | 62c | 2,890$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.73 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 2,125$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.48 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Benched gods | 51c | 2,100$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.01 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 2,081$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.4 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Benched gods | 52c | 1,555$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.28 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Benched gods | 50c | 947.35$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.71 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ex-MANA eSports | 28c | 896.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Benched gods | 56c | 743.13$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.61 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 677.82$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.29 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Benched gods | 54c | 555$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.51 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Benched gods | 48c | 439.47$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Benched gods | 58c | 426.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 401.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 381.6$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Benched gods | 60c | 335.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 296.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 291.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…cafebacked ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 288.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 283.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked ex-MANA eSports | 32c | 278.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…8c2cbacked Benched gods | 73c | 274.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-MANA eSports | 47c | 218$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 205.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 205.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Benched gods | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 195.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed ex-MANA eSports | 52c | 194.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Benched gods | 47c | 192.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Benched gods | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed Benched gods | 50c | 167.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Benched gods | 53c | 165.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 163.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 143.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Benched gods | 63c | 119.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Benched gods | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 309 | 38.5%119 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed ex-MANA eSports | 19c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Benched gods | 57c | 105.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 103.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Benched gods | 49c | 100.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Benched gods | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 99.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Benched gods | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 265 | 44.2%117 W · 148 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed ex-MANA eSports | 39c | 84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 43c | 80.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 32c | 78.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 37c | 76.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Benched gods | 62c | 71.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 28c | 67.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 62.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed ex-MANA eSports | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Benched gods | 45c | 52.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 37.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…1ed3backed ex-MANA eSports | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 31.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Benched gods | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 29.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Benched gods | 42c | 26.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Benched gods | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 662 | 48.6%322 W · 340 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Benched gods | 53c | 22.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked ex-MANA eSports | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,278 | 71.5%914 W · 364 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Benched gods - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group DBenched gods won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Benched gods - Map 2 WinnerBenched gods won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.