Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb469eed0ed6a7b17c4788eebf7c9c10e9cc02726a52763956a62986422b618b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pcific Esportsof Gentle Mates, Pcific Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 9,448$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.74 | 183 | 48.1%88 W · 95 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Pcific Esports | 48c | 5,332$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.86 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +520.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Pcific Esports | 48c | 4,629$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.17 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 2,441$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.8 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +18.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 2,034$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaa…2094backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 1,480$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…248bbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 1,294$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.34 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Pcific Esports | 48c | 1,075$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.15 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Pcific Esports | 48c | 998.94$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.45 | 554 | 52.3%290 W · 264 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Pcific Esports | 48c | 960$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Pcific Esports | 50c | 674.71$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Pcific Esports | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pcific Esports | 46c | 473.59$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Pcific Esports | 47c | 427.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Pcific Esports | 48c | 357.6$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 322.12$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Pcific Esports | 47c | 305.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.7 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Pcific Esports | 48c | 256.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Pcific Esports | 46c | 246.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 643 | 47.7%307 W · 336 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Pcific Esports | 47c | 221.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Pcific Esports | 48c | 218$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pcific Esports | 68c | 213$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 788 | 62.8%495 W · 293 L | +56.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Pcific Esports | 48c | 191.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 180.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pcific Esports | 48c | 142.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…cf36backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Pcific Esports | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 95.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Gentle Mates | 27c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Pcific Esports | 46c | 89.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Pcific Esports | 66c | 75.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Pcific Esports | 48c | 70.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Pcific Esports | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Pcific Esports | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 52.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 47.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Pcific Esports | 64c | 44.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Pcific Esports | 49c | 37.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 551 | 42.3%233 W · 318 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Pcific Esports | 49c | 31.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Pcific Esports | 56c | 30.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 394 | 66%260 W · 134 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pcific Esports | 48c | 29.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 413 | 46.5%192 W · 221 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 441 | 43.5%192 W · 249 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Pcific Esports (+2.5)Gentle Mates won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerPcific Esports won
- Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.