Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Polina Iatcenko vs Vera Zvonareva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbaf48463951648b56d58e11cd2e6b9b12144c0ee65b6976baa015f4a55f9e84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vera Zvonarevaof Polina Iatcenko, Vera Zvonareva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Polina Iatcenko | 27c | 24,274$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.77 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vera Zvonareva | 66c | 10,151$6,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.81 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Polina Iatcenko | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Vera Zvonareva | 50c | 3,233$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.95 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Polina Iatcenko | 49c | 1,348$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.04 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 1,165$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.61 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Polina Iatcenko | 31c | 799.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.62 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vera Zvonareva | 50c | 635.02$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.51 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Polina Iatcenko | 39c | 626.83$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.56 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…2ee8backed Polina Iatcenko | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Polina Iatcenko | 33c | 398.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Vera Zvonareva | 60c | 388.46$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.46 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Vera Zvonareva | 77c | 341$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Polina Iatcenko | 20c | 314.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 333 | 63.1%210 W · 123 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Vera Zvonareva | 56c | 305.32$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Vera Zvonareva | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Vera Zvonareva | 57c | 275$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Polina Iatcenko | 32c | 251.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Vera Zvonareva | 78c | 241.58$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Vera Zvonareva | 52c | 230.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Vera Zvonareva | 56c | 230.91$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Polina Iatcenko | 22c | 213.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Polina Iatcenko | 20c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Vera Zvonareva | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 189.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 332 | 34%113 W · 219 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 179$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vera Zvonareva | 75c | 175.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Polina Iatcenko | 29c | 170.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Polina Iatcenko | 42c | 168.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 165$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Polina Iatcenko | 25c | 151.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Polina Iatcenko | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Vera Zvonareva | 77c | 115.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Polina Iatcenko | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Vera Zvonareva | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Vera Zvonareva | 79c | 63.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Vera Zvonareva | 60c | 53.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Vera Zvonareva | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Vera Zvonareva | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Polina Iatcenko | 49c | 47.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…f861backed Vera Zvonareva | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Vera Zvonareva | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Polina Iatcenko | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Vera Zvonareva | 80c | 37.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Polina Iatcenko | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Vera Zvonareva | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Vera Zvonareva | 76c | 30.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Polina Iatcenko | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Vera Zvonareva | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Vera Zvonareva | 51c | 29.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 28.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Vera Zvonareva | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Vera Zvonareva | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Vera Zvonareva | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Polina Iatcenko | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Vera Zvonareva | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Vera Zvonareva | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Vera Zvonareva | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vera Zvonareva | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Vera Zvonareva | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Vera Zvonareva | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…0445backed Vera Zvonareva | 80c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Vera Zvonareva | 59c | 17.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Istanbul 2: Polina Iatcenko vs Vera Zvonarevathis page
- Iatcenko vs. Zvonareva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.