Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbf0e0834db89ec0811e082de5fe1ad7362cc5bd7d34cc9029aac003abebebd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 64c | 22,634$14,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,148.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 65c | 22,558$14,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,926.73 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 35c | 19,887$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.95 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 5,728$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.12 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 2,874$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.93 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 2,646$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.22 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 2,418$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.32 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 42c | 2,056$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.44 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 35c | 1,663$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 6c | 1,605$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 36c | 1,575$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.86 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 35c | 1,497$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.81 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 1,269$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.29 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 1,199$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed No | 6c | 1,067$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 1,056$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.12 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 2c | 909.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 45c | 888$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 37c | 677.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Yes | 47c | 421.42$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 36c | 269.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9358…2bd9backed Yes | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 36c | 200.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 37c | 188.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 36c | 175$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 36c | 163.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 7c | 162.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 35c | 138$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 132$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 78c | 131.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 58c | 130.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 123.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 36c | 119.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 104.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 35c | 86.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked No | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 36c | 80.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 64c | 76.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Yes | 46c | 74.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 57c | 72.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes | 49c | 71.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 36c | 71.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed No | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 76c | 63.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 36c | 60.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 43c | 59.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 47c | 45.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes | 61c | 41.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 45c | 38.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bad…04a9backed Yes | 64c | 37.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 36c | 36.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 34.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…c530backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 36c | 30.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 53c | 28.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 64c | 26.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 63c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…c338backed No | 53c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Yes | 65c | 21.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…e235backed Yes | 63c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1469…677abacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…a116backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.