Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Tarleton State Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc2a01c882cdf9bb2fc47aad779684a662d7547d863ac4ae53019ffa2cb96d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Valley Wolverinesof Utah Valley Wolverines, Tarleton State Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Tarleton State Texans | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 65c | 3,088$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.75 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 66c | 1,449$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.04 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 54c | 976.53$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tarleton State Texans | 32c | 774$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tarleton State Texans | 42c | 712.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 69c | 680.38$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Tarleton State Texans | 30c | 566.67$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 56c | 442.64$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.65 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 65c | 285.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 60c | 281$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 74c | 256$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 244$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Tarleton State Texans | 33c | 221.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Tarleton State Texans | 62c | 221$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 72c | 219.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tarleton State Texans | 30c | 219.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 62c | 209.27$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 72c | 186$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 38c | 157.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 72c | 138.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 63c | 106.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 71c | 101.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Tarleton State Texans | 31c | 84.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 72c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Tarleton State Texans | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tarleton State Texans | 33c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Tarleton State Texans | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Tarleton State Texans | 37c | 44.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 69c | 42.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 68c | 34.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 69c | 34.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 69c | 32.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 67c | 30.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 65c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…521dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 62c | 18.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 63c | 18.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Tarleton State Texansthis page
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-3.5)Utah Valley Wolverines won
- Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.