Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc2caa128ccb3aceac51ad3235d38cf650899815fee6f6b7a0c4574e901c90cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 4c | 979.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 77c | 718.71$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 50c | 637$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.11 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 18c | 449.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 27c | 371.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…eb61backed No | 57c | 335$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 35c | 328.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 50c | 271$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…eb39backed No | 36c | 209.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 24c | 160.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 65c | 154.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…3fdbbacked Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 273 | 35.9%98 W · 175 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 22c | 143.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 139.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 136.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 63c | 127.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…9a81backed Yes | 58c | 125.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 45c | 101.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 49c | 101.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 61c | 99.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 41c | 87.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 52c | 86.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 60c | 83.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 60c | 79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 49c | 71.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375b…0ebbbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 50c | 66.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 19c | 63.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 50c | 62.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 20c | 61.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 22c | 59.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 75c | 58.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…3dd8backed No | 47c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 49c | 51.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 40c | 49.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…f8a3backed Yes | 55c | 45.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 24c | 45.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 48c | 45.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 43.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 35.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…b9a1backed No | 49c | 33.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…3d85backed No | 50c | 32.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 64c | 30.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…f988backed Yes | 64c | 30.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 49c | 30.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 58c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 58c | 25.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 49c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…32d8backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 60c | 24.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…963dbacked Yes | 57c | 24.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…c50abacked Yes | 58c | 23.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…26c2backed Yes | 58c | 22.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…a96dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…09efbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 55c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 63c | 15.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed Yes | 67c | 15.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.