Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcca69206b63124efe793271ef44d8a7722b11b5883f75b3f366aabb2413a5058
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iga Swiatekof Emerson Jones, Iga Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Emerson Jones | 0c | 52,760$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 49,844$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.92 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Emerson Jones | 2c | 40,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Emerson Jones | 0c | 23,006$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 20,416$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Emerson Jones | 1c | 17,593$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.83 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 14,837$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Emerson Jones | 1c | 9,842$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Emerson Jones | 1c | 8,085$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Emerson Jones | 3c | 7,948$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 7,418$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Emerson Jones | 2c | 6,782$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…23eabacked Emerson Jones | 2c | 5,948$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Emerson Jones | 0c | 5,735$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Emerson Jones | 0c | 5,259$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 5,183$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Emerson Jones | 1c | 4,983$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Emerson Jones | 1c | 4,932$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…7312backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 4,901$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Emerson Jones | 2c | 4,381$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 4,248$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 3,751$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…9d3abacked Emerson Jones | 2c | 3,148$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 3,109$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Emerson Jones | 1c | 1,647$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…f595backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 1,555$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Emerson Jones | 5c | 1,436$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Emerson Jones | 1c | 1,430$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 1,229$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975f…995bbacked Emerson Jones | 2c | 1,101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…4b33backed Emerson Jones | 1c | 1,048$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 1,037$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Emerson Jones | 2c | 999.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 887.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 698.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 673.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…5d51backed Emerson Jones | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked Emerson Jones | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatekthis page
- Emerson Jones vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Jones vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Jones vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Jones vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Jones vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Jones vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Jones vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Jones vs SwiatekSwiatek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.