Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Novak Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde796d85353a6bd92f58ffe953cb4d03550a282f53d078004c317fbe77cc93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Hanfmann, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hanfmann | 14c | 32,111$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.75 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hanfmann | 13c | 9,537$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.18 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Djokovic | 76c | 6,591$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Hanfmann | 38c | 3,478$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.36 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hanfmann | 29c | 3,188$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.51 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Hanfmann | 8c | 2,389$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hanfmann | 31c | 2,095$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.58 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Djokovic | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Hanfmann | 24c | 1,799$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.87 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hanfmann | 37c | 1,729$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.37 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Djokovic | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Hanfmann | 11c | 1,545$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Hanfmann | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…748bbacked Hanfmann | 11c | 1,351$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Hanfmann | 10c | 1,200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hanfmann | 9c | 1,130$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Hanfmann | 43c | 999$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.57 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Djokovic | 72c | 869.44$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.44 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Djokovic | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Hanfmann | 10c | 799.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Hanfmann | 31c | 707.13$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.21 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Hanfmann | 33c | 666.02$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Hanfmann | 31c | 661.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Hanfmann | 16c | 553.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Hanfmann | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Djokovic | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Hanfmann | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Hanfmann | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Hanfmann | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Hanfmann | 30c | 299.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Djokovic | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hanfmann | 10c | 297$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Hanfmann | 12c | 273.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Hanfmann | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed Djokovic | 54c | 205.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Hanfmann | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Hanfmann | 29c | 181.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Hanfmann | 34c | 166.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Djokovic | 56c | 142.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…7ca5backed Hanfmann | 35c | 125.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…7538backed Hanfmann | 42c | 124.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Djokovic | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Djokovic | 62c | 112.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Djokovic | 62c | 112.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hanfmann | 17c | 109.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Hanfmann | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…2938backed Djokovic | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Hanfmann | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Djokovic | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Djokovic | 66c | 65.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Djokovic | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Djokovic | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Djokovic | 78c | 39.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Djokovic | 73c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…8849backed Djokovic | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Djokovic | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…e548backed Djokovic | 70c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Djokovic | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Djokovic | 78c | 14.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.