Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce46863c512c65047bc4fd211d5802b2bf320c434298bde51113182893d7b11f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe110…ca16backed Yes | 1c | 10,046$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca5…e859backed Yes | 1c | 3,161$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed Yes | 1c | 3,099$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3282…9d49backed Yes | 8c | 1,591$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 21c | 1,123$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…f862backed Yes | 18c | 993.36$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 280 | 21.8%61 W · 219 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 580.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…0b2bbacked Yes | 14c | 549.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 36c | 546.95$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 16c | 546.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 19c | 510.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…ace3backed No | 79c | 378.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +11.9wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 16c | 377.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 14c | 371.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 14c | 356.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 14c | 342.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 11c | 338.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 18c | 289.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 9c | 276.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 78c | 269.89$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 15c | 264.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 78c | 256.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed Yes | 12c | 254.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 10c | 229.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked Yes | 20c | 226.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 222.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 5c | 208.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 11c | 205.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…ce49backed Yes | 27c | 194.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…f69dbacked Yes | 12c | 193.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 187.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 16c | 182.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…b5b1backed Yes | 11c | 178$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 211 | 31.8%67 W · 144 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 176.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 11c | 169.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 74c | 161.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…d6b6backed Yes | 16c | 154.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 19c | 133.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 13c | 132.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 14c | 132.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 12c | 130.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 17c | 127.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 12c | 118.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 18c | 114.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 16c | 111.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc9…2847backed Yes | 14c | 107.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 11c | 103.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 14c | 102.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked No | 80c | 102.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 347 | 48.7%169 W · 178 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…e1a8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc69…5797backed Yes | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…aac0backed Yes | 16c | 95.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…c0f2backed Yes | 15c | 89.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 167 | 9%15 W · 152 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 84.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d6…1c0abacked Yes | 22c | 83.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 24c | 72.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 71.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 74c | 70.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f9…1a73backed No | 79c | 67.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 31 | 87.1%27 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…5e5fbacked No | 78c | 65.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 78c | 62.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 22c | 56.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 25c | 54.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 27c | 54.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 79c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 70c | 44.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…2d6abacked No | 77c | 38.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…de25backed No | 78c | 29.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…955cbacked No | 80c | 19.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 76c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 78c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed No | 79c | 14.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…bb53backed No | 80c | 14.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 76c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.